Vilomy – Casino Betting Systems

 This system aims to recover losses gradually by “modulating” your bet size based on the cumulative losses incurred rather than simply doubling the wager after each loss. It focuses on balancing recovery with risk control by betting only a fraction of what you need to recover, plus a small profit margin. How It Works: Establish a Base Bet & Profit Target: Base Bet: Choose an initial bet that represents a small, fixed percentage of your bankroll. Profit Margin: Set a desired profit margin (a small fixed amount or percentage) you’d like to gain whenever you recover losses. Tracking a Loss Pool: Loss Pool: Every time you lose, add the lost amount to a “loss pool.” This pool represents the total amount you need to recover. Example: If your base bet is $10 and you lose, your loss pool becomes $10. Modulated Bet Calculation: After a Loss: Instead of doubling, calculate your next bet as: Next Bet = (Fraction × Loss Pool) + Profit Margin The fr...

  This system uses a controlled positive progression, where bets increase after wins, combined with strict bankroll management to limit losses and protect your funds. It’s simple to follow and adaptable to both blackjack and 3-card poker. Rules Set Your Base Unit : Start with a base bet equal to 2% of your total bankroll . For a $500 bankroll, your base unit is $10. This keeps bets small relative to your funds, reducing risk from the outset. Step-Up After Wins : After each win, increase your bet by one base unit . For example: Start with $10, win → next bet is $20. Win again → next bet is $30. Cap the increase at three steps (e.g., $10 → $20 → $30 → $40). After the third win, reset to the base bet ($10). Reset After Losses : After any loss, immediately return to your base bet ($10). This avoids escalating bets when luck turns against you, unlike Martingale. Safety Net Limits : Win Goal : Stop playing when your bankroll increases by 20% (e.g., $100 profit on ...

  This system aims to reduce the aggressive bet doubling of Martingale by using a slower progression and incorporating stop-loss limits. Key Features: Slower Bet Increase:  Instead of doubling bets after a loss, increase by 50% (e.g.,  10 → 10 → 15 → $22.50). Stop-Loss Limit:  Cap consecutive losses to 3–4 steps before resetting to the base bet. Profit Reset:  After a win, reset to the original bet size to lock in gains and avoid overexposure. How It Works: Start with a base bet (e.g., $10). After a loss:  Increase the next bet by 50% of the previous bet. Loss 1:  10 → L o s s 2 : 10 → L oss 2 : 15 → Loss 3:  22.50 → L o s s 4 : 22.50 → L oss 4 : 33.75. After a win:  Reset to the base bet ($10). Stop-loss:  If you hit 3–4 consecutive losses, reset to the base bet regardless of outcome. Example Progression: Round Bet Size Outcome Total Loss Net Profit If Win 1 $10 Loss -$10 — 2 $15 Loss -$25 — 3 $22.50 Loss -$47.50 — 4 $33.75 Win -$47.50 ...

  Here’s a new hypothetical betting system designed to improve on the Martingale’s weaknesses: Rules Base Bet as a Percentage : Start with a base bet that’s a small, fixed percentage of your bankroll—say, 1-2% . For example, with a $1,000 bankroll, your base bet is $10-$20. Adjust the base bet after significant bankroll changes (e.g., every 10% gain or loss). Progression After Wins, Not Losses : After a win , increase your bet by 1 unit (e.g., from $10 to $20). After a loss , return to your base bet or keep it flat (no increase). Cap the progression at, say, 3 wins in a row , then reset to the base bet. This limits exposure during a hot streak. Session Limits : Set a win goal : Stop playing if your bankroll increases by 20% (e.g., $200 profit on a $1,000 bankroll). Set a loss limit : Stop if you lose 10% of your bankroll (e.g., $100 loss). These limits prevent chasing losses or giving back big wins. Game-Specific Adjustments : Blackjack : Pair this with basi...

  1. Baseline Edge & Kelly Fraction Determine Your Edge: First, evaluate your estimated edge in the game. In blackjack, this might come from card counting or strategy variations; in 3-card poker, it could be from favorable rule sets or side bets. Kelly Fraction: Use the Kelly criterion to compute an ideal fraction of your bankroll to wager. The formula is: Kelly Fraction = (Edge / Odds) However, because full Kelly can be aggressive, you’ll only use a fraction (e.g., half-Kelly) as your base bet. This provides a mathematically sound starting point while reducing volatility. 2. Adaptive Bet Adjustment Recent Performance Factor: Track your performance over the last 5–10 hands. If you're on a win streak, slightly increase your bet beyond the base half-Kelly fraction (but never above a preset cap). If you're experiencing losses, reduce your bet size further below the base level. Dynamic Scaling: Win Adjustment: For each consecutive win beyond a set thr...